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Customer Lifetime Value

El Corte Inglés

Evolution of Customer Lifetime Value (CLV) predictive modeling with an integrated behavioral anomaly detection system.

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Customer Lifetime Value
PROBLEM

The client required an evolution of their existing Value Prediction Framework to enhance robustness and reduce volatility in future spending forecasts. Additionally, business stakeholders identified a critical need to automate the detection of sudden shifts in purchasing patterns. The goal was to move beyond static predictions and implement a dynamic monitoring system capable of identifying significant fluctuations against historical baselines to trigger immediate retention actions.

SOLUTION

We implemented an advanced analytics initiative that enriched the existing modeling core by integrating heterogeneous data sources, including digital behavioral telemetry and customer sentiment indicators. The solution involved a complex feature engineering pipeline to capture deep interaction signals and a new segmentation approach for high-frequency versus discretionary retail verticals. To address the "cold start" problem, we applied clustering algorithms to infer the potential value of new customers based on similarity to existing high-value profiles. This was operationalized through a scalable hybrid cloud architecture that runs automated drift monitoring, comparing real-time spending accumulation against predicted curves to generate actionable business alerts when significant deviations occur.

BENEFITS

The solution delivers highly robust value predictions, significantly improving accuracy across diverse product categories. The primary value add is the transition from passive reporting to proactive lifecycle management; the system now automatically flags behavioral anomalies, enabling the business to execute timely retention or upsell strategies. Furthermore, the similarity-based inference allows for early identification of high-potential customers from their very first interactions.

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